Sanjay Singh, VP HR at Whirlpool Asia just started a blog and in his first post he touchs on the the trouble with Leadership Forecasting and what can be done about it:
the biggest challenge lies in accepting the notion that we can predict the business needs (or even the sahpe & size of the business, in 2 years) - Wall street is surely smarting over this assumption.
So if we cannot predict the needs of business, it does severely handicap any ability to predict the Talent needs.
Short point - Talent Forecasting is dead !!
That is certainly bad news for all users & professionals around the Talent Space, including me ...
The answer, I guess, lies in seeking more versatile Leaders who have adaptability as certainly a key strength.
Abhijit Bhadhuri blogs about meeting hot shot headhunting firm Egon Zehnder partner and author of Great People Decisions Claudio Fernandez-Araoz (email:Claudio.Fernandez.Araoz@ezi.net) who is listed by Businessweekmagazine as one of the most influential headhunters.
he had asked the legendary Egon Zehnder himself, “… what makes a person successful?” Egon’s answer, “Luck!! Lucky to be born at a certain time, in a certain country, in a certain socio-economic group, lucky to get a certain education etc. Maybe I should have asked him what the SECOND most important reason for success was.”, Claudio adds wistfully.
I also asked him questions. How many people should interview a candidate? Claudio recommends no more than three people meet a potential candidate and spend two hours each. Beyond that you hit a Type II error ie you are likely to reject a good candidate if more than three people evaluate a candidate.And Indraneel Roy looks at who should be blamed for the financial mess and why precious little is being done about it:
The fact that not a single human being has been held accountable ( not counting those "fired with a fat severance") for 1 trillion dollar debacle is simply astounding. In fact, Hank the saviour has come up with a brilliant plan to kill the 'toxic assets' and save the 'toxic banker'. What a stroke of genius!